16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 50.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 51.2%), based on 16K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 49% → 43%
Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (38%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.
The French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (2.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (50.1%) outperforms Bullet (46.7%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 329 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 877 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 722 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.8%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.1%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
In Rapid games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The French Defense: St. George Defense, Sanky-George Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.