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French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit

8.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.3%Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 53.2%Based on 8.2K games
0%52.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.4% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.4%3.7%45.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...axb5
French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit
Analyzen=8.2K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 52.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.4% and 53.2%), based on 8.2K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +13.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 12.3% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.6% win rate (86 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.6% win rate (288 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.1% win rate (741 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.9% win rate (1,236 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (1,595 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (1,595 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.5% win rate (1,733 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.3% win rate (868 games)
  • 2500+: 45.0% win rate (84 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (3,543 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (4,146 games)
  • Rapid: 39.9% win rate (523 games)
  • Classical: 55.6% win rate (12 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (119 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (155 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (339 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (357 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (555 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (591 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (85 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (669 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (807 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (116 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (523 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (918 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.9% expected score (875 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (806 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (49 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (372 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (442 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit perform best?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.8%) outperforms Bullet (43.5%) by 12.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 741 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 39.0%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 40.8% (90% CI: 38.0%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 868 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 43.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-44.9%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.9%) win rate for white (4.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 52.2%-59.3%) win rate for white (523 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit a good opening?

The French Defense: St. George Defense, St. George Gambit is slightly favors black with a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.