French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted
90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
52.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.1%.
Measured over 90K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 90K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 90K
- Best context
- 62.1% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Worst context
- 48.5% at 1600-1799 Bullet
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 57.4% at 0-999, 61.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,251 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (2,708 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (1,322 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (1,937 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (2,792 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,363 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (42 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (51 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (2,882 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,895 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (1,249 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.3% expected score (92 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (102 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (5,292 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (4,245 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (1,067 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.6% expected score (82 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (84 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (7,360 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (7,751 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (1,279 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 69.7% expected score (85 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (8,619 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (11,287 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (1,554 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (64 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (9,856 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (5,575 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (848 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 75.6% expected score (20 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (4,023 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 62.1% expected score (1,424 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (103 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (823 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (50 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted scores 52.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.6% and 53.1% — from 90K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 90K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate?
Playing the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted, White wins 51.0%, draws 3.7% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 90K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted perform best?
The French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 59.8% (879 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 54.5% in Blitz (39K games) against 57.7% in Rapid (8.8K games).
How sharp is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted?
The French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 51.5%, draws 5.1% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.1%. It rests on 5.3K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 54.2%, draws 3.4% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 53.7%, draws 2.9% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 7.2K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 51.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 49.7%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 49.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 54.6%, draws 4.6% and loses 40.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.9%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 56.8%, draws 6.0% and loses 37.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.8%. It rests on 879 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 49.5%, draws 0.4% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 341 Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 48.8%, draws 2.8% and loses 48.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.2%. It rests on 42K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 52.3%, draws 4.3% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.5%. It rests on 39K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 55.2%, draws 5.0% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.7%. It rests on 8.8K Lichess games.
What is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 66.2%, draws 5.7% and loses 28.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 69.1%. It rests on 395 Lichess games.
Is the French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted a good opening?
The French Defense: Franco-Hiva Gambit Accepted is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.0% of its games and loses 45.3%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.