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French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation

13K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 46.8%Based on 13K games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.3% – 46.8%
Outcome Distribution
43.9%4.2%51.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Ng8
French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation
Analyzen=13K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 46.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.3% and 46.8%), based on 13K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.8% win rate (27 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.1% win rate (102 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.9% win rate (346 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (968 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.3% win rate (2,013 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.9% win rate (3,529 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.2% win rate (4,073 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.8% win rate (1,913 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (146 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (3,400 games)
  • Blitz: 43.9% win rate (8,250 games)
  • Rapid: 40.3% win rate (1,417 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (44 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (197 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (224 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (570 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (470 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (1,240 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (284 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (827 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (2,226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (456 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (857 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (2,879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (335 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (778 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (1,034 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.0% expected score (103 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation perform best?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (1.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.2%) outperforms Bullet (51.6%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-64.4%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 346 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 968 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 53.9%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 44.4%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 146 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.0%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.3%) win rate for white (8.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-57.3%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Vistaneckis Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.