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French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation

147 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 43.3% – 56.8%Based on 147 games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.3% – 56.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.1%7.7%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b6
French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation
Analyzen=147
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness92%
Draw Rate7.7%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation has a 50.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.3% and 56.8%), based on 147 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 29%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 64.7% win rate (7 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (15 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.8% win rate (33 games)
  • 2000-2199: 36.3% win rate (44 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.0% win rate (36 games)
  • 2500+: 29.4% win rate (7 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (47%), worst in Rapid (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
  • Blitz: 46.8% win rate (115 games)
  • Rapid: 37.9% win rate (13 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799———
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 39.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 147 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation has a sharpness score of 92.3 (decisive), meaning 92.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation has a 44.2% (90% CI: 36.7%-51.8%) win rate for white (115 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Frankfurt Variation is slightly favors black with a 46.1% (90% CI: 39.4%-52.9%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.