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French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line

61K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.2%Based on 61K games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 48.2%
Outcome Distribution
44.2%7.2%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...gxf6
French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line
Analyzen=61K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.2%

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 47.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 48.2%), based on 61K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · Rapid best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.5% win rate (20 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.4% win rate (93 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.3% win rate (214 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (670 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.4% win rate (2,175 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.5% win rate (7,461 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.5% win rate (16,508 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (23,972 games)
  • 2500+: 37.1% win rate (10,051 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Rapid (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.6% win rate (37 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (23,057 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (34,712 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (3,161 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (197 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (84 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (268 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (319 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (711 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (177 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (1,976 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (4,845 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (585 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (4,147 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (11,146 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (8,712 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (14,202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (1,015 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (7,125 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (2,784 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Knight Variation
48.3%
French Defense: Exchange Variation
47.7%
French Defense: Normal Variation
50.3%
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Queen's Knight
48.5%
Analyze French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 61K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line perform best?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 49.7% win rate for white (7.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.4%) outperforms Classical (40.1%) by 9.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a sharpness score of 92.8 (decisive), meaning 92.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 51.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 214 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 47.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 670 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 15.3% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.7%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.5%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

What is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line has a 40.1% (90% CI: 34.4%-45.8%) win rate for white (197 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.9%.

Is the French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line a good opening?

The French Defense: Classical Variation, Burn Variation, Morozevich Line is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.