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Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation

56K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.4%Based on 56K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%5.7%45.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nf3
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation
Analyzen=56K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.7%

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 52.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 52.4%), based on 56K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.7% win rate (282 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.1% win rate (731 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (1,463 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.4% win rate (3,184 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (6,102 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (10,690 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.3% win rate (14,271 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (15,533 games)
  • 2500+: 52.2% win rate (3,445 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.2% win rate (67 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (20,065 games)
  • Blitz: 49.0% win rate (30,693 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (4,654 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (222 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (84 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (150 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (303 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (319 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (608 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (606 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.4% expected score (238 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (1,110 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (1,600 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (449 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (1,949 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (3,389 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (704 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (3,176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (6,218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (81 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (4,350 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (8,664 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,197 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (6,174 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (8,657 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (684 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (2,311 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (1,090 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Alapin Variation
47.7%
Dutch Defense: Alekhine Variation
51.0%
Dutch Defense: Bellon Gambit
49.8%
Dutch Defense: Blackburne Variation
52.1%
Dutch Defense: Blackmar's Second Gambit
54.5%
Continuations (4)
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Carlsbad Variation
49.9%
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Karlsbad Variation
51.2%
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation
46.7%
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Warsaw Variation
48.7%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 56K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.9%) outperforms Classical (46.3%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a sharpness score of 94.3 (decisive), meaning 94.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 282 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 731 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.4%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.4%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.2%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 40.9%-51.8%) win rate for white (222 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.0%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.