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Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation

58K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.7%Based on 58K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.7%
Outcome Distribution
47.3%6.0%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nc6
Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation
Analyzen=58K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.0%

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 50.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.7%), based on 58K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~46%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (30 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.0% win rate (83 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.9% win rate (268 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (683 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.3% win rate (2,221 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.9% win rate (7,199 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (15,571 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.1% win rate (24,437 games)
  • 2500+: 44.7% win rate (7,207 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.7% win rate (18 games)
  • Bullet: 48.5% win rate (27,279 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (28,368 games)
  • Rapid: 44.6% win rate (1,918 games)
  • Classical: 37.9% win rate (116 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 65.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 24.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (160 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (258 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (348 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (71 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (847 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (1,151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (204 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,589 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (4,171 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (390 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 10.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (5,173 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (9,687 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (12,286 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (11,630 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (506 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (5,906 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,261 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (39 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Queen's Knight Variation
48.2%
Dutch Defense: Rubinstein Variation
47.6%
Dutch Defense: Raphael Variation
51.2%
Dutch Defense: Normal Variation
48.3%
Dutch Defense: Classical Variation
49.1%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 58K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 47.4% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.6%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by -0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 43.1%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 268 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 43.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 683 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.1%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.1%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.7%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 39.7%-54.8%) win rate for white (116 Lichess games). Draw rate is 14.9%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Leningrad Variation, Matulovic Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.