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Analyzer

Dutch Defense: Krause Variation

9.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.6%Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.5%Based on 9.5K games
0%46.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.8% – 47.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.6%4.0%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
Dutch Defense: Krause Variation
Analyzen=9.5K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 46.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 47.5%), based on 9.5K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 31%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (226 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (525 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.2% win rate (1,038 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.2% win rate (1,550 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (1,912 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.6% win rate (1,991 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (1,479 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (724 games)
  • 2500+: 31.4% win rate (67 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (50%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 46.9% win rate (3,946 games)
  • Blitz: 43.4% win rate (4,485 games)
  • Rapid: 41.3% win rate (1,029 games)
  • Classical: 49.5% win rate (48 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (121 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (191 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (254 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (79 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (399 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (482 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.9% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (650 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (184 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (685 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (978 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (233 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (709 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (1,045 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (218 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (694 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (672 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (110 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (494 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (209 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 33.8% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.2% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Queen's Knight Variation
48.2%
Dutch Defense: Rubinstein Variation
47.6%
Dutch Defense: Raphael Variation
51.2%
Dutch Defense: Normal Variation
48.3%
Dutch Defense: Classical Variation
49.1%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Krause Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 63.5% win rate for white (67 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (51.7%) outperforms Bullet (50.7%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 226 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.0%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 525 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 724 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.3%-52.0%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.6%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Dutch Defense: Krause Variation a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Krause Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.6%-52.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.