What is the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit expected score for Black?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit has a 50.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.6% and 56.4%), based on 162 Lichess games.
Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit
162 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellBlack Expected Score50.0%Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 56.4%Based on 162 games
0%50.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.6% – 56.4%
Outcome Distribution
48.6%2.8%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...e5
Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit
Analyzen=162
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.8%
Black Win% by Rating
Declines with rating: 48% → 46%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 48.1% win rate (37 games)
- 1000-1199: 57.9% win rate (8 games)
- 1200-1399: 36.0% win rate (11 games)
- 1400-1599: 60.0% win rate (16 games)
- 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
- 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (21 games)
- 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (27 games)
- 2200-2499: 46.3% win rate (19 games)
- 2500+: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
Black Win% by Time Control
Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Rapid (40%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
- Bullet: 45.6% win rate (50 games)
- Blitz: 50.8% win rate (88 games)
- Rapid: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
- Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
Black% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | ||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Dutch Defense49.8%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit win rate?
The Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 42.2%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 162 rated games from Lichess.
Is the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
Bullet (51.5%) outperforms Blitz (46.4%) by 5.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit?
The Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.2 (very decisive), meaning 97.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
Is the Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit a good opening?
The Dutch Defense: Hevendehl Gambit is slightly favors black with a 48.6% (90% CI: 42.2%-55.0%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.