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Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System

207K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.7%Based on 207K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.7%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%4.2%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...g6
Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System
Analyzen=207K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 48.7%), based on 207K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.2% win rate (5,830 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.2% win rate (10,062 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.4% win rate (16,659 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.3% win rate (24,453 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.5% win rate (33,970 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.6% win rate (40,512 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (35,984 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.3% win rate (30,065 games)
  • 2500+: 44.6% win rate (9,005 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (384 games)
  • Bullet: 47.8% win rate (63,767 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (107,266 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (33,866 games)
  • Classical: 42.7% win rate (1,257 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (784 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (3,335 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (1,699 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 24.1% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,773 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (5,126 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (3,115 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (3,405 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (8,396 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (4,697 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (5,331 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (12,863 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (5,920 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (285 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (144 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (7,634 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (18,973 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (6,887 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (332 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 39.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (10,829 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (22,495 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (6,841 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.7% expected score (294 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.3% expected score (31 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (12,091 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (20,074 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (3,668 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (14,867 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (14,135 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (1,007 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (7,053 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,869 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 207K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.7%) by 0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 49.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-53.9%) win rate for white (384 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.1%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.2%-49.7%) win rate for white (107K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.9%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-54.5%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze System is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.