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Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit

60K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 52.2%Based on 60K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%3.1%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.e4
Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit
Analyzen=60K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 52.2%), based on 60K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 40.1% win rate (3,359 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (3,556 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (4,891 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.9% win rate (8,281 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.1% win rate (11,646 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (14,081 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.7% win rate (10,385 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.3% win rate (3,559 games)
  • 2500+: 54.8% win rate (328 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (51%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.3% win rate (845 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (27,017 games)
  • Blitz: 50.8% win rate (27,199 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (4,761 games)
  • Classical: 50.7% win rate (264 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (993 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (1,563 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (760 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 31.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (62 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,380 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,656 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (441 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (119 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,267 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (1,951 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (513 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.3% expected score (256 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,746 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (612 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.8% expected score (338 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (5,035 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (5,438 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (779 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 66.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (6,554 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (6,492 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (955 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (4,830 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (5,001 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 68.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (2,088 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,302 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (166 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (275 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 60K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.3% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (50.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.3%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 38.7%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 328 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 44.5%-50.1%) win rate for white (845 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.4%.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.3%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.8%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-55.7%) win rate for white (264 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Wagner-Zwitersch Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.