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Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit

397 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score54.1%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 58.1%Based on 397 games
0%54.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 58.1%
Outcome Distribution
52.6%2.9%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.c3
Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit
Analyzen=397
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 54.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 58.1%), based on 397 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.6% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 20%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.8% win rate (31 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.7% win rate (98 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (106 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.6% win rate (100 games)
  • 2200-2499: 65.5% win rate (42 games)
  • 2500+: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 55.1% win rate (228 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (139 games)
  • Rapid: 54.1% win rate (29 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 67.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.5% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 397 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 58.6% win rate for white (100 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.1%) outperforms Blitz (47.3%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 41.9%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-66.5%) win rate for white, based on 100 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-60.5%) win rate for white (228 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 40.4%-54.3%) win rate for white (139 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

Is the Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Siegener Gambit is statistically balanced with a 52.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-56.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.