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Analyzer

Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation

66K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.6%Based on 66K games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.1%6.3%43.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...d5
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
Analyzen=66K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.3%

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.6%), based on 66K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.5% win rate (10,996 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.5% win rate (8,351 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.2% win rate (7,731 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.2% win rate (7,928 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (11,620 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.2% win rate (13,230 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.0% win rate (5,723 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (689 games)
  • 2500+: 56.4% win rate (49 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (87%), worst in Rapid (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 86.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 52.5% win rate (8,996 games)
  • Blitz: 50.1% win rate (39,776 games)
  • Rapid: 48.5% win rate (16,475 games)
  • Classical: 52.1% win rate (1,064 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (1,144 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (6,156 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (3,644 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (909 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (4,449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (2,835 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (157 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (914 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (3,814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (2,599 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (1,374 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (4,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (1,891 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,739 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (7,519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (2,227 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (135 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (1,590 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (9,216 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (2,338 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.0% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (980 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (3,840 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (888 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (301 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit
48.6%
Analyze Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate?

The Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 66K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation perform best?

The Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (7.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.5%) outperforms Rapid (48.5%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation?

The Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a sharpness score of 93.7 (decisive), meaning 93.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 689 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.4%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.2%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-54.6%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation is statistically favors white with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.