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Analyzer

Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack

360 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 42.0% – 50.6%Based on 360 games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.0% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
43.3%5.9%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
Analyzen=360
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack has a 46.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.0% and 50.6%), based on 360 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 39% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.5% win rate (10 games)
  • 1400-1599: 27.3% win rate (15 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.8% win rate (34 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (57 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.4% win rate (135 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (79 games)
  • 2500+: 36.0% win rate (11 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Bullet (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 32.7% win rate (49 games)
  • Blitz: 45.0% win rate (253 games)
  • Rapid: 45.0% win rate (53 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (118 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit
48.6%
Analyze Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack win rate?

The Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack has a 43.3% (90% CI: 39.0%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 360 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack perform best?

The Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 46.6% win rate for white (79 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.0%) outperforms Rapid (45.0%) by 0.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack?

The Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack has a 41.4% (90% CI: 34.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 135 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack has a 45.0% (90% CI: 39.9%-50.1%) win rate for white (253 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack is slightly favors black with a 43.3% (90% CI: 39.0%-47.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.