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Zukertort Opening: The Walrus

204K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.5%Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.7%Based on 204K games
0%52.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.3% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%3.5%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...dxc6
Zukertort Opening: The Walrus
Analyzen=204K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 52.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 52.7%), based on 204K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 15.5% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 47% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (7,930 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.7% win rate (15,836 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (26,679 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (37,435 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (39,144 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.8% win rate (35,267 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.0% win rate (24,386 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.2% win rate (14,183 games)
  • 2500+: 51.5% win rate (3,576 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (53%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 37.4% win rate (214 games)
  • Bullet: 50.2% win rate (98,455 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (91,591 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (13,812 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (364 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 33.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (3,834 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (3,047 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,020 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (7,812 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (6,684 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (1,280 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 34.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (12,480 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (12,158 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (1,949 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (56 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (16,537 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (17,979 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (2,775 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (15,321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (20,590 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (3,137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (15,213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (17,378 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (2,575 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (13,068 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (10,388 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (892 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (10,754 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.9% expected score (3,236 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (3,436 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (131 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 11.5% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: The Walrus PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 204K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: The Walrus performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.0% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (37.4%) by 14.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus?

The Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 37.4% (90% CI: 32.0%-42.8%) win rate for white (214 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (98K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.4%) win rate for white (92K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus has a 52.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-57.2%) win rate for white (364 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: The Walrus a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: The Walrus is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.