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Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation

5.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 48.8%Based on 5.7K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.7%4.0%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Rg1
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
Analyzen=5.7K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 47.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 48.8%), based on 5.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 18.8% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 34% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.8% win rate (470 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.4% win rate (569 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.6% win rate (270 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.3% win rate (361 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (565 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.8% win rate (699 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (1,448 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (1,241 games)
  • 2500+: 44.0% win rate (111 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.5% win rate (133 games)
  • Bullet: 48.2% win rate (3,490 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (1,682 games)
  • Rapid: 29.4% win rate (388 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (41 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.5% expected score (128 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (195 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 32.9% expected score (136 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 19.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (192 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (299 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 40.8% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 13.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (202 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (311 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (417 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 22.6% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (1,222 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (203 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,066 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (171 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (41 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Zukertort Opening: Double Fianchetto Attack
48.6%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.2%) outperforms Rapid (29.4%) by 18.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation?

The Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 33.8% (90% CI: 30.3%-37.4%) win rate for white, based on 470 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 44.4% (90% CI: 41.0%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 569 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 39.6% (90% CI: 34.8%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.0%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 42.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 565 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 41.7%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 699 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 36.4%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 111 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 40.5% (90% CI: 33.7%-47.5%) win rate for white (133 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 43.3%-47.3%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation has a 29.4% (90% CI: 25.7%-33.2%) win rate for white (388 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.