What is the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.6%), based on 144K Lichess games.
144K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 53.6%), based on 144K Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 49% → 52%
Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Bullet (51%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 144K rated games from Lichess.
The Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (54.9%) outperforms Classical (51.4%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.0%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-56.2%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.5%) win rate for white (47K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.
In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.
In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.0%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.3%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
The Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.