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Zukertort Opening: The Potato

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.5%Based on 16K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.4%7.0%46.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.a4
Zukertort Opening: The Potato
Analyzen=16K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.0%

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 49.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 50.5%), based on 16K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 14.3% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 43% → 28%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.8% win rate (1,574 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.8% win rate (1,950 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.1% win rate (2,084 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.2% win rate (2,467 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (1,957 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (3,202 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.9% win rate (1,425 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.0% win rate (911 games)
  • 2500+: 28.0% win rate (885 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.9% win rate (254 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (4,753 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (8,589 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (2,741 games)
  • Classical: 35.6% win rate (118 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (411 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (724 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (427 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (376 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (1,199 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (361 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (430 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,033 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (554 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (587 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (688 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (511 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,048 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (339 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.6% expected score (90 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (1,111 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (1,790 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (442 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (863 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (104 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (321 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (544 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (564 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: The Potato PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: The Potato perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: The Potato performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 55.0% win rate for white (911 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.7%) outperforms Classical (35.6%) by 12.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato?

The Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 42.8% (90% CI: 40.8%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.6%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 46.9% (90% CI: 44.7%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.2%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 911 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 28.0% (90% CI: 25.6%-30.5%) win rate for white, based on 885 Lichess games. Average game length is 52 moves with a 51.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 49.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (254 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.9%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.0%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-46.5%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: The Potato has a 35.6% (90% CI: 28.5%-42.9%) win rate for white (118 Lichess games). Draw rate is 18.0%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: The Potato a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: The Potato is statistically balanced with a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.