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Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense

1.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 49.8%Based on 1.2M games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.6% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
47.6%4.1%48.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Nc3
Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense
Analyzen=1.2M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 49.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 49.8%), based on 1.2M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.3% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (197,194 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (170,373 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (181,141 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (178,195 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (148,570 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.3% win rate (130,048 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (84,514 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.9% win rate (53,059 games)
  • 2500+: 47.0% win rate (14,675 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.1% win rate (19,868 games)
  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (492,875 games)
  • Blitz: 46.9% win rate (481,086 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (156,535 games)
  • Classical: 37.8% win rate (7,405 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (367 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (46,066 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (97,452 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (52,739 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (570 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (682 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (50,509 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (82,863 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (35,022 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (1,297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (1,823 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (63,574 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (83,191 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (30,311 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (2,242 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.1% expected score (3,575 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (70,533 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (81,293 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (20,497 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 36.8% expected score (2,297 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (4,604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (72,731 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (59,328 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (11,154 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.3% expected score (753 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.5% expected score (4,386 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (74,563 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (46,317 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (4,608 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (174 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (3,025 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (59,904 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (19,934 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (1,612 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (1,360 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (43,661 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7,592 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (436 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (11,334 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (3,116 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (156 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 62.3% expected score (23 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (53K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.1%) outperforms Classical (37.8%) by 13.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense?

The Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.5%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 170K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 181K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 178K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 149K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 130K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 85K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 15.9% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.6%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (493K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.1%) win rate for white (481K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.1%) win rate for white (157K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense has a 37.8% (90% CI: 36.9%-38.8%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Reversed Mexican Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.