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Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit

204K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.9%Based on 204K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%3.7%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...g5
Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit
Analyzen=204K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 50.9%), based on 204K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.3% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 54% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.3% win rate (4,369 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.0% win rate (3,362 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.8% win rate (4,722 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (8,072 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.6% win rate (16,397 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (28,241 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (38,707 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.3% win rate (59,834 games)
  • 2500+: 48.5% win rate (39,830 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.5% win rate (33,674 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (126,519 games)
  • Blitz: 51.4% win rate (37,725 games)
  • Rapid: 55.5% win rate (5,393 games)
  • Classical: 60.8% win rate (223 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,220 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (2,126 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (991 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (1,165 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (1,560 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.9% expected score (563 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.3% expected score (204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,874 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (2,024 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (568 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (1,265 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (3,262 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (2,790 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (697 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 71.9% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.0% expected score (5,801 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (5,580 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (4,218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (769 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 79.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (9,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (10,923 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (6,700 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (938 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (8,675 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (19,776 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (9,673 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (570 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 52.6% expected score (6,862 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (45,080 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (7,604 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (287 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (1,151 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (37,639 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,030 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 37.0% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Zukertort Opening
49.5%
Variations (5)
Zukertort Opening: Ampel Variation
45.7%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense
51.8%
Zukertort Opening: Arctic Defense, Drunken Knight Variation
47.9%
Zukertort Opening: Basman Defense
51.4%
Zukertort Opening: Black Mustang Defense
49.7%
Analyze Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate?

The Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 204K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit perform best?

The Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (3.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (60.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.5%) by 13.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit?

The Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.0%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.6%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.0%) win rate for white (34K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.3%) win rate for white (127K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.8%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit has a 60.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-66.1%) win rate for white (223 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit a good opening?

The Zukertort Opening: Herrstrom Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.