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Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation

418K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 50.5%Based on 418K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.2% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%5.2%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Be2
Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation
Analyzen=418K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 50.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.5%), based on 418K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.1% win rate (462 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.8% win rate (2,606 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (8,310 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (24,541 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (62,355 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (118,471 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (119,484 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (67,278 games)
  • 2500+: 49.7% win rate (14,114 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.6% win rate (16 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (99,856 games)
  • Blitz: 47.9% win rate (254,787 games)
  • Rapid: 47.1% win rate (59,476 games)
  • Classical: 45.0% win rate (3,486 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.9% expected score (283 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (142 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (1,430 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (976 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (191 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (3,166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (4,211 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (897 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (7,774 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (13,161 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (3,394 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.2% expected score (205 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (14,272 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (38,549 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (8,823 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (710 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (19,415 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (79,490 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (18,221 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (1,343 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (22,939 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (75,948 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (19,670 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.0% expected score (926 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (22,056 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (37,286 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (7,728 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (208 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (8,521 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (5,024 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (516 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (52 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon
45.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Exchange Variation
45.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind
48.8%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Breyer Variation
43.7%
Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Dragon, Maróczy Bind, Gurgenidze Variation
44.6%
Continuations (2)
Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation, Modern Line
47.8%
Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation, Traditional Line
45.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 418K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (67K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.0%) outperforms Classical (45.0%) by 3.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 41.1% (90% CI: 37.4%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 462 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 118K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 119K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 12.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white (100K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.0%) win rate for white (255K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.5%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-46.4%) win rate for white (3.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Opocensky Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.