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Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation

2.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score57.4%Range (90% confident): 55.8% – 59.1%Based on 2.6K games
0%57.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.8% – 59.1%
Outcome Distribution
54.3%6.2%39.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Qd5
Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation
Analyzen=2.6K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 57.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 55.8% and 59.1%), based on 2.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 97.4 · Trap factor: +5.5 · n=2.6K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 24.6% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.9% win rate (28 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (46 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.2% win rate (95 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (268 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.3% win rate (889 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.8% win rate (990 games)
  • 2500+: 57.4% win rate (257 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (60%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 59.6% win rate (889 games)
  • Blitz: 53.6% win rate (1,541 games)
  • Rapid: 31.2% win rate (141 games)
  • Classical: 28.0% win rate (11 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 60.3% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 62.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (190 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 33.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 66.1% expected score (185 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (657 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 36.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (401 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (559 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.7% expected score (213 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (38 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 39.5% (90% CI: 37.9%-41.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 46.9% win rate for white (268 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (60.7%) outperforms Bullet (36.1%) by 24.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 42.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 268 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 36.9% (90% CI: 34.2%-39.6%) win rate for white, based on 889 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 39.2% (90% CI: 36.6%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 990 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 35.0% (90% CI: 30.2%-39.9%) win rate for white, based on 257 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 36.1% (90% CI: 33.5%-38.8%) win rate for white (889 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 39.3% (90% CI: 37.2%-41.3%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation has a 60.7% (90% CI: 53.9%-67.3%) win rate for white (141 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Schliemann Defense, Möhring Variation is slightly favors black with a 39.5% (90% CI: 37.9%-41.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.