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Ruy Lopez: Open

130K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.0%Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.2%Based on 130K games
0%53.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.7% – 53.2%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%5.4%44.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.c3
Ruy Lopez: Open
Analyzen=130K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 53.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.7% and 53.2%), based on 130K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 57.0% win rate (4,309 games)
  • 1000-1199: 58.0% win rate (9,900 games)
  • 1200-1399: 58.3% win rate (13,628 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.2% win rate (14,682 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.1% win rate (17,465 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (23,942 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (25,330 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (17,428 games)
  • 2500+: 47.2% win rate (3,134 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (22,112 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (75,501 games)
  • Rapid: 53.2% win rate (30,287 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (1,917 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (1,166 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (2,137 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (998 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (1,671 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (5,401 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (2,777 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (1,975 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (6,678 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (4,788 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (186 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (1,970 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (6,883 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.0% expected score (5,375 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (454 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,369 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (9,935 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (4,659 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (502 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (2,911 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (15,374 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (5,212 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (445 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (3,815 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (16,911 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (4,396 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (4,560 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (10,928 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (1,895 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,675 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (1,254 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (187 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Continuations (10)
Ruy Lopez: Open, Berlin Variation
52.8%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Bernstein Variation
41.6%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Breslau Variation
33.1%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense
42.6%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Classical Defense, Main Line
47.1%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Dilworth Variation
35.3%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Friess Attack
49.8%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack
48.5%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Howell Attack, Ekstrom Variation
39.1%
Ruy Lopez: Open, Italian Variation
48.3%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Open PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Open has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 130K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Open perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Open performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 58.3% win rate for white (14K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.2%) outperforms Blitz (49.1%) by 4.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Open?

The Ruy Lopez: Open has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.2%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 58.3% (90% CI: 57.6%-59.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.5%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.4%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 8.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 13.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.4%) win rate for white (76K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.7%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Open win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Open has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.3%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Open a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Open is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.