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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack

9.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 51.6%Based on 9.1K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 51.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.9%5.6%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bb7
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack
Analyzen=9.1K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 50.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 51.6%), based on 9.1K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 29%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.6% win rate (58 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (224 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.2% win rate (522 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (981 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (1,320 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.3% win rate (2,020 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (2,144 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.4% win rate (1,403 games)
  • 2500+: 28.7% win rate (450 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in Rapid (45%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (2,022 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (5,723 games)
  • Rapid: 44.8% win rate (1,311 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (66 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (284 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (71 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (285 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (479 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (208 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (254 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (785 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (265 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (307 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (1,341 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (348 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (381 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (1,462 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (289 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (301 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,006 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (94 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (217 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (224 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (522 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.8%) outperforms Classical (48.1%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 224 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 47.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 981 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 44.7% (90% CI: 42.9%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 43.0% (90% CI: 40.8%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 35.8% (90% CI: 32.1%-39.5%) win rate for white, based on 450 Lichess games. Average game length is 49 moves with a 35.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 44.9% (90% CI: 43.1%-46.8%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-52.1%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Trajkovic Counterattack is statistically balanced with a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.