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Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.1%Based on 28K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.1%
Outcome Distribution
44.9%7.3%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
10...Nbd7
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length43 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate7.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 49.1%), based on 28K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.7% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 20% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.5% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.1% win rate (72 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.2% win rate (341 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (1,132 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.1% win rate (3,836 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (8,731 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.6% win rate (10,855 games)
  • 2500+: 36.0% win rate (2,662 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~46%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (4,287 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (20,426 games)
  • Rapid: 44.0% win rate (2,728 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (209 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (156 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 67.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (240 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (741 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (136 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (534 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (2,788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (454 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (1,050 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (6,534 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,060 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (87 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,499 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (8,389 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (934 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (773 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (1,783 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (2.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.8%) outperforms Classical (40.1%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a sharpness score of 92.7 (decisive), meaning 92.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 43 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 51.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 341 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.0%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.6%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid has a 40.1% (90% CI: 34.7%-45.7%) win rate for white (209 Lichess games). Draw rate is 13.5%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer Defense, Zaitsev Hybrid is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.