TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer

926 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score58.8%Range (90% confident): 56.2% – 61.4%Based on 926 games
0%58.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.2% – 61.4%
Outcome Distribution
56.7%4.3%39.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.d4
Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer
Analyzen=926
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 58.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.2% and 61.4%), based on 926 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · Rapid best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 62% → 22%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 62.2% win rate (17 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.4% win rate (33 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.7% win rate (106 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.7% win rate (197 games)
  • 1800-1999: 58.5% win rate (278 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.7% win rate (216 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.4% win rate (69 games)
  • 2500+: 21.7% win rate (10 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (69%), worst in Bullet (53%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.8% win rate (189 games)
  • Blitz: 56.2% win rate (597 games)
  • Rapid: 61.8% win rate (119 games)
  • Classical: 68.9% win rate (21 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 64.6% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (193 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (143 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 79.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense
55.9%
Ruy Lopez: Alapin Defense, Alapin Gambit
53.0%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Anderssen Variation
48.6%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Berlin Wall
12.2%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.0%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 926 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 58.5% win rate for white (278 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (61.8%) outperforms Bullet (52.8%) by 9.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 50.7% (90% CI: 42.8%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 55.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-61.4%) win rate for white, based on 197 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 58.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-63.3%) win rate for white, based on 278 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 57.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-63.2%) win rate for white, based on 216 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 52.8% (90% CI: 46.8%-58.7%) win rate for white (189 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 56.2% (90% CI: 52.9%-59.5%) win rate for white (597 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer has a 61.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-69.0%) win rate for white (119 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Closed, Breyer is statistically favors white with a 56.7% (90% CI: 54.0%-59.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.