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Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.2%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.9%Based on 18K games
0%48.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%3.5%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bb6
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 48.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.9%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~40%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.8% win rate (133 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (358 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.8% win rate (863 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (1,712 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.8% win rate (2,860 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (4,776 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.0% win rate (5,123 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.7% win rate (2,040 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (261 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (5,358 games)
  • Blitz: 46.5% win rate (10,333 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (2,354 games)
  • Classical: 33.7% win rate (80 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (65 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (144 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (157 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (342 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (400 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (600 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (862 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (238 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (730 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,631 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (474 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 31.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,025 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (3,021 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (705 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,395 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (3,111 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (610 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (825 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (1,086 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (125 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (232 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 28.5% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (863 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (59.5%) outperforms Blitz (49.6%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-65.3%) win rate for white, based on 133 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 358 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 863 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 261 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.4%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.9%) win rate for white (2.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation, Charousek Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.