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Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap

8.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.5%Range (90% confident): 41.6% – 43.4%Based on 8.5K games
0%42.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 41.6% – 43.4%
Outcome Distribution
39.4%6.2%54.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...O-O
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap
Analyzen=8.5K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 42.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.6% and 43.4%), based on 8.5K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.5% win rate (122 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (365 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.5% win rate (804 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.5% win rate (1,480 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.8% win rate (2,054 games)
  • 1800-1999: 37.3% win rate (1,862 games)
  • 2000-2199: 31.8% win rate (1,107 games)
  • 2200-2499: 36.9% win rate (545 games)
  • 2500+: 46.9% win rate (136 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 45.9% win rate (1,823 games)
  • Blitz: 38.3% win rate (4,791 games)
  • Rapid: 35.9% win rate (1,782 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (78 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (147 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (166 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (247 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (420 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (132 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (359 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (803 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (306 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (364 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (1,245 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (421 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (230 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (1,101 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (501 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 32.6% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.6% expected score (182 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 35.8% expected score (627 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 34.5% expected score (292 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 40.0% expected score (148 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (335 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (61 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (89 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Ruy Lopez
51.9%
Variations (5)
Ruy Lopez: Steinitz Defense
51.2%
Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Classical Variation
48.7%
Ruy Lopez: Bird Variation
49.9%
Ruy Lopez: Cozio Defense
49.9%
Analyze Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap perform best?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 59.7% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (56.9%) outperforms Bullet (50.1%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 36.8% (90% CI: 29.9%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 122 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 49.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.1% (90% CI: 47.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 804 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.4%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.1%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 59.7% (90% CI: 57.2%-62.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 545 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 12.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 42.5% (90% CI: 35.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 46 moves with a 10.5% draw rate.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.3%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap has a 56.9% (90% CI: 54.9%-58.8%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

Is the Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap a good opening?

The Ruy Lopez: Berlin Defense, Tarrasch Trap is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.