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Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense

215K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%Based on 215K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
47.8%4.0%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...exd5
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense
Analyzen=215K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 50.0%), based on 215K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.5% win rate (3,088 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (10,883 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.0% win rate (24,431 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (40,983 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.4% win rate (49,173 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (46,053 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (26,302 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.8% win rate (12,390 games)
  • 2500+: 50.0% win rate (1,467 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (49%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.4% win rate (427 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (91,675 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (98,201 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (23,565 games)
  • Classical: 48.3% win rate (902 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,535 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (269 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 32.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (5,064 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (4,812 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (974 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (9,898 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (11,887 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2,538 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.4% expected score (163 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (15,772 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (19,932 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (4,962 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (154 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (94 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (17,991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (23,979 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (6,737 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (372 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (18,448 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (21,790 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (5,523 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (244 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (13,342 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (10,774 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (2,086 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (8,357 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (3,562 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (461 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,268 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (183 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Continuations (3)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense, Pseudo-Tarrasch
50.5%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense, Pseudo-Tarrasch Bishop Attack
54.7%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense, Stoltz Variation
44.6%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 215K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.8%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.4%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 44.8% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 41.4% (90% CI: 37.5%-45.4%) win rate for white (427 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.5%) win rate for white (92K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.4%) win rate for white (98K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.3%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense has a 48.3% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.0%) win rate for white (902 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Tarrasch Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.