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Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation

115K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.1%Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 44.4%Based on 115K games
0%44.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 44.4%
Outcome Distribution
41.3%5.6%53.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...dxc4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation
Analyzen=115K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.6%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 44.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.9% and 44.4%), based on 115K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.7% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 39% → 25%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 38.7% win rate (895 games)
  • 1000-1199: 38.8% win rate (3,798 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.4% win rate (9,679 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.9% win rate (18,671 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.5% win rate (25,565 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.5% win rate (24,382 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (15,952 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (11,281 games)
  • 2500+: 25.1% win rate (4,890 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (42%), worst in Classical (31%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.1% win rate (705 games)
  • Bullet: 41.0% win rate (65,258 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (41,728 games)
  • Rapid: 40.7% win rate (7,002 games)
  • Classical: 31.2% win rate (420 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (381 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 37.7% expected score (403 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.3% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (1,958 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.5% expected score (1,479 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (352 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.1% expected score (5,093 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (3,682 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (843 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 28.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 42.0% expected score (136 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.2% expected score (9,629 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (7,318 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (1,540 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (314 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (14,761 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (8,899 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (1,499 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (145 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (15,277 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (7,561 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (1,321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (9,379 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (5,726 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (755 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (5,585 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (5,291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (368 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (3,195 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (1,369 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (110 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 115K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 58.3% win rate for white (9.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (56.7%) outperforms Classical (48.0%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a sharpness score of 94.4 (decisive), meaning 94.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 59.3% (90% CI: 56.6%-62.0%) win rate for white, based on 895 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.1%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 58.3% (90% CI: 57.5%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.0%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 32.4% (90% CI: 31.3%-33.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 51 moves with a 42.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 56.7% (90% CI: 53.6%-59.7%) win rate for white (705 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.2%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.2%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.8%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-52.0%) win rate for white (420 Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Ragozin Defense, Vienna Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.