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Analyzer

Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense

66K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.3%Based on 66K games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.6% – 48.3%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%5.8%49.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Ne4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense
Analyzen=66K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 48.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.6% and 48.3%), based on 66K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (272 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.1% win rate (1,351 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (3,738 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (8,484 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.7% win rate (12,392 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.8% win rate (14,982 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.3% win rate (13,122 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.5% win rate (9,487 games)
  • 2500+: 41.1% win rate (1,834 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (21,808 games)
  • Blitz: 44.5% win rate (37,020 games)
  • Rapid: 43.0% win rate (6,544 games)
  • Classical: 40.5% win rate (281 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (109 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (127 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (551 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (640 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (158 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,312 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,953 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (462 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (2,895 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (4,623 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (931 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,948 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (6,836 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (1,531 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (4,416 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (8,736 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (1,724 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,976 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (7,929 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (3,476 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (5,487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (512 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,125 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (689 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Continuations (3)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense, Main Line
50.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense, Teichmann Variation
47.2%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense, Bernstein Variation, Mar del Plata Gambit
37.3%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 66K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (12K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Classical (50.1%) by -0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 43.7% (90% CI: 38.8%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 272 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 12.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.8%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate for white (37K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.6%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 45.2%-55.0%) win rate for white (281 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.4%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Lasker Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.