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Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation

659K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.4%Range (90% confident): 56.3% – 56.5%Based on 659K games
0%56.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.3% – 56.5%
Outcome Distribution
54.7%3.4%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nf3
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation
Analyzen=659K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 56.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.3% and 56.5%), based on 659K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.0% · Breakpoint: Never

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.5% · UltraBullet best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~55%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.8% win rate (29,462 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.0% win rate (69,001 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.4% win rate (110,126 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.6% win rate (142,916 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.1% win rate (147,412 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.9% win rate (106,603 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.6% win rate (41,710 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.2% win rate (10,766 games)
  • 2500+: 54.9% win rate (865 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (66%), worst in Bullet (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 65.7% win rate (1,282 games)
  • Bullet: 54.2% win rate (309,870 games)
  • Blitz: 54.7% win rate (274,529 games)
  • Rapid: 56.6% win rate (70,850 games)
  • Classical: 60.7% win rate (2,330 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (129 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (10,398 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (14,425 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (4,499 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 69.9% expected score (124 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.5% expected score (28,699 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (30,182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9,876 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.6% expected score (240 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (47,375 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (48,132 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (13,845 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (534 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.1% expected score (414 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (59,503 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (65,363 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (16,904 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.5% expected score (732 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (67,218 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (64,173 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (15,141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (649 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.0% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (57,732 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (39,847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (8,657 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.4% expected score (249 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (29,074 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (10,786 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.8% expected score (1,799 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (9,103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (1,525 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (768 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (96 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 659K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.0% win rate for white (69K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (65.7%) outperforms Bullet (54.2%) by 11.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 69K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 110K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.8%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 147K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.4%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.1%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 865 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 65.7% (90% CI: 63.5%-67.9%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-54.3%) win rate for white (310K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.5%-54.8%) win rate for white (275K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 56.6% (90% CI: 56.3%-56.9%) win rate for white (71K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation has a 60.7% (90% CI: 59.0%-62.3%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense, Janowski Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.6%-54.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.