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Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack

55K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.0%Range (90% confident): 57.7% – 58.4%Based on 55K games
0%58.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.7% – 58.4%
Outcome Distribution
56.4%3.1%40.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qb3
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack
Analyzen=55K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 58.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.7% and 58.4%), based on 55K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.8% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 61% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.6% win rate (293 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.5% win rate (1,220 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.3% win rate (3,435 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.2% win rate (9,213 games)
  • 1600-1799: 56.8% win rate (17,512 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.8% win rate (15,721 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.5% win rate (6,105 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.4% win rate (1,778 games)
  • 2500+: 57.7% win rate (93 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (61%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 55.3% win rate (14,151 games)
  • Blitz: 56.3% win rate (32,383 games)
  • Rapid: 58.8% win rate (8,567 games)
  • Classical: 61.1% win rate (266 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (133 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 77.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (550 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (552 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.2% expected score (115 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (1,380 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (1,629 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (412 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (2,582 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.6% expected score (5,443 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.9% expected score (1,147 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (3,922 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (10,803 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (2,677 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (3,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (9,351 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (3,012 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 69.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (1,608 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (3,456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (1,019 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 67.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (640 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (982 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (57 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 71.2% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Alapin Variation
52.1%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit
49.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Balogh Variation
46.6%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation
52.9%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Be6 Line
48.5%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 55K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 57.2% win rate for white (9.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (58.8%) outperforms Bullet (55.3%) by 3.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 60.6% (90% CI: 55.9%-65.2%) win rate for white, based on 293 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.5% (90% CI: 54.2%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 54.9%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 57.2% (90% CI: 56.3%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.5%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.7%-56.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.7%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 58.8% (90% CI: 57.9%-59.6%) win rate for white (8.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack has a 61.1% (90% CI: 56.2%-66.0%) win rate for white (266 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense, Queen Attack is statistically favors white with a 56.4% (90% CI: 56.1%-56.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.