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Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line

49K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.3%Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 44.7%Based on 49K games
0%44.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.9% – 44.7%
Outcome Distribution
42.2%4.2%53.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bg4
Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line
Analyzen=49K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 44.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.9% and 44.7%), based on 49K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -7.7% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.8% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.6% win rate (39 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.1% win rate (240 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.0% win rate (1,003 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.6% win rate (3,131 games)
  • 1600-1799: 41.9% win rate (8,634 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.4% win rate (14,819 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (13,747 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.5% win rate (6,564 games)
  • 2500+: 38.1% win rate (732 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (30%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.4% win rate (12,419 games)
  • Blitz: 42.0% win rate (30,907 games)
  • Rapid: 38.5% win rate (5,376 games)
  • Classical: 29.5% win rate (207 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (90 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 33.3% expected score (133 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (387 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (534 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (80 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (949 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (1,827 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (342 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (1,976 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (5,611 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (991 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (2,925 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (9,773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (2,024 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (97 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (3,248 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (8,870 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (1,595 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (2,297 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (3,942 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (320 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (524 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (204 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Queen's Gambit Declined
50.9%
Variations (5)
Queen's Gambit Declined: Marshall Defense
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's Knight Variation
52.8%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Chigorin Defense
53.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Baltic Defense
52.3%
Queen's Gambit Declined: Normal Defense
50.4%
Analyze Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 49K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line perform best?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.7% win rate for white (732 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (63.5%) outperforms Bullet (52.7%) by 10.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 59.0% (90% CI: 53.8%-64.2%) win rate for white, based on 240 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.3%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.3%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 57.7% (90% CI: 54.7%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 732 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.4%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.1%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 54.3%-56.6%) win rate for white (5.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line has a 63.5% (90% CI: 58.0%-68.9%) win rate for white (207 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line a good opening?

The Queen's Gambit Declined: Albin Countergambit, Fianchetto Variation, Bg4 Line is statistically favors white with a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.