TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation

816 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score59.8%Range (90% confident): 57.0% – 62.6%Based on 816 games
0%59.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.0% – 62.6%
Outcome Distribution
58.7%2.3%39.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qe2
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation
Analyzen=816
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.3%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 59.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.0% and 62.6%), based on 816 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 60% → 65%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.5% win rate (80 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.4% win rate (88 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.5% win rate (88 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.3% win rate (139 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.5% win rate (158 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.4% win rate (136 games)
  • 2000-2199: 62.6% win rate (76 games)
  • 2200-2499: 71.4% win rate (44 games)
  • 2500+: 64.7% win rate (7 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (60%), worst in Classical (8%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 59.9% win rate (248 games)
  • Blitz: 58.4% win rate (388 games)
  • Rapid: 58.8% win rate (171 games)
  • Classical: 7.7% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.9% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 69.9% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 63.5% expected score (80 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 61.1% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (77 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 77.9% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 68.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 75.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 58.7% (90% CI: 55.8%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 816 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 62.6% win rate for white (76 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (59.9%) outperforms Rapid (58.8%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 57.3% (90% CI: 50.4%-64.1%) win rate for white, based on 139 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 55.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-61.9%) win rate for white, based on 158 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 56.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-63.2%) win rate for white, based on 136 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 54.8%-65.0%) win rate for white (248 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.6%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 54.3%-62.5%) win rate for white (388 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation has a 58.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-64.9%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Steinitz Variation is statistically favors white with a 58.7% (90% CI: 55.8%-61.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.