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Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack

36K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.9%Based on 36K games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%4.5%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Qxd4
Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack
Analyzen=36K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.9%), based on 36K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 59% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.2% win rate (841 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.2% win rate (1,332 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.5% win rate (1,978 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.2% win rate (3,016 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.3% win rate (5,548 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.7% win rate (7,943 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.1% win rate (8,550 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.4% win rate (5,907 games)
  • 2500+: 50.7% win rate (1,062 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 58.2% win rate (44 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (13,506 games)
  • Blitz: 47.2% win rate (18,208 games)
  • Rapid: 50.8% win rate (4,197 games)
  • Classical: 49.9% win rate (222 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (273 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (349 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.9% expected score (219 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (523 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (474 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 69.1% expected score (324 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 59.2% expected score (813 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (818 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (318 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (1,379 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (423 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 64.7% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,940 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (2,952 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (591 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,364 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (4,551 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (966 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (2,665 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (4,887 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (960 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (3,040 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (2,477 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (374 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (717 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.5% expected score (321 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 79.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 36K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 60.2% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.8%) outperforms Classical (49.9%) by 0.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 59.2% (90% CI: 56.4%-61.9%) win rate for white, based on 841 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 60.2% (90% CI: 58.0%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 57.5% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 12.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.4%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.8%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-52.1%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack has a 49.9% (90% CI: 44.4%-55.4%) win rate for white (222 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Modern Attack, Center Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.