TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation

28K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score53.3%Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.8%Based on 28K games
0%53.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.8% – 53.8%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%3.8%44.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d4
Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation
Analyzen=28K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 53.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.8% and 53.8%), based on 28K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +5.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (282 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.6% win rate (606 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.6% win rate (924 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (2,045 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (4,455 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (7,900 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.6% win rate (7,437 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.1% win rate (3,767 games)
  • 2500+: 47.8% win rate (631 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Blitz (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.1% win rate (92 games)
  • Bullet: 51.8% win rate (8,437 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (16,816 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (2,553 games)
  • Classical: 52.8% win rate (149 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (115 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (271 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (261 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 71.0% expected score (70 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (360 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (413 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (723 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (1,059 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (2,729 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (493 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.5% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (2,029 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (5,001 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (782 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (2,018 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (4,753 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (616 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (1,311 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (2,308 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.6% expected score (143 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (450 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (177 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Petrov's Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack
50.2%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
41.7%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
45.3%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
46.5%
Petrov's Defense: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
38.0%
Analyze Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate?

The Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 28K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation perform best?

The Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.6% win rate for white (606 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Classical (52.8%) by -1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation?

The Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 45.0%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 282 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 606 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.9%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 924 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 50.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 631 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.7%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.7%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.3%-53.6%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-59.5%) win rate for white (149 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation a good opening?

The Petrov's Defense: Cochrane Gambit, Center Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.