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Analyzer

Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation

21K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.1%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.7%Based on 21K games
0%49.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%4.0%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation
n=21K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 49.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.7%), based on 21K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 92.0 · Trap factor: +5.4 · n=21K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 61%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.7% win rate (3,004 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.0% win rate (3,414 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (3,789 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.2% win rate (3,965 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.0% win rate (3,534 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (2,130 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (779 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.2% win rate (267 games)
  • 2500+: 61.0% win rate (37 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 56.3% win rate (58 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (6,740 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (9,649 games)
  • Rapid: 47.5% win rate (4,309 games)
  • Classical: 47.7% win rate (163 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (599 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (1,639 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (754 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (900 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (1,616 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (875 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (1,062 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (1,779 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (892 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (44 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 65.6% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,238 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (1,875 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (777 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (1,362 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (1,523 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (609 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (30 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (936 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (871 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (313 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (459 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (241 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (96 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Continuations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Brandics Gambit
55.3%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit
52.0%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Nimzowitsch Gambit
52.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Richter Gambit
56.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation
49.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 21K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 47.7% win rate for white (3.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.5%) outperforms Classical (47.7%) by -0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 44.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 42.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 779 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 43.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 267 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.5%-48.5%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.4%) win rate for white (9.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.8%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 41.3%-54.1%) win rate for white (163 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.