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Analyzer

Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation

8.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 52.2%Based on 8.0K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 52.2%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%4.0%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation
n=8.0K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 52.2%), based on 8.0K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (1,511 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (1,247 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.4% win rate (1,152 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (1,095 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (966 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (829 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.3% win rate (662 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (468 games)
  • 2500+: 53.6% win rate (89 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (65%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 64.9% win rate (27 games)
  • Bullet: 48.0% win rate (2,551 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (3,664 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (1,704 games)
  • Classical: 43.6% win rate (73 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (235 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (805 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (467 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (254 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (576 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (401 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (306 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (504 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (321 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (333 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (494 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (237 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (389 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (418 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (396 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (343 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (84 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (311 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (312 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (192 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 77.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (68 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (662 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.0%) outperforms Classical (43.6%) by 7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 966 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 829 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.1%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 662 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 468 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.0%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Vehre Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.