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Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit

2.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.0%Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 56.8%Based on 2.0K games
0%55.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.2% – 56.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.0%5.8%42.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit
n=2.0K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.8%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 55.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.2% and 56.8%), based on 2.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 97.1 · Trap factor: +7.6 · n=2.0K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.4% win rate (653 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.7% win rate (405 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.0% win rate (272 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.3% win rate (196 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (105 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (99 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.3% win rate (122 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (115 games)
  • 2500+: 57.9% win rate (27 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 39.1% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 53.7% win rate (366 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (909 games)
  • Rapid: 53.9% win rate (673 games)
  • Classical: 54.7% win rate (36 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 68.1% expected score (51 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (334 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (261 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (172 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.6% expected score (190 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (105 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.7% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (71 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 69.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.7% win rate for white (405 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.9%) outperforms Blitz (49.9%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.2 (decisive), meaning 94.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 653 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-59.8%) win rate for white, based on 405 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 272 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 39.5%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 196 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 50.2% (90% CI: 42.3%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 105 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 43.3% (90% CI: 36.1%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 122 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 44.2% (90% CI: 36.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 115 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 10.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.5%-58.0%) win rate for white (366 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 47.2%-52.6%) win rate for white (909 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-57.0%) win rate for white (673 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Bogoljubov Variation, Heinola-Deppe Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.