TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection

57K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.9%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 53.3%Based on 57K games
0%52.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
51.0%3.9%45.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...g6
Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection
Analyzen=57K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 52.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 53.3%), based on 57K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.0% win rate (4,014 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (5,100 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (6,940 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (8,621 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.1% win rate (9,196 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.9% win rate (10,069 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (7,361 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.8% win rate (4,991 games)
  • 2500+: 51.9% win rate (1,145 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Rapid (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.7% win rate (125 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (21,387 games)
  • Blitz: 50.4% win rate (27,707 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (7,922 games)
  • Classical: 50.6% win rate (296 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (641 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (2,139 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (1,217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (997 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (2,743 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,316 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.5% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (2,025 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (3,390 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (1,438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (68 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (2,604 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (4,306 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,598 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (91 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,973 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (4,978 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (1,162 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (4,302 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (4,983 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (733 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,556 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (3,407 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (381 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (3,276 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (1,641 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (1,013 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (120 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
51.4%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 57K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (5.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.4%) outperforms Classical (50.6%) by 1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 55.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-62.9%) win rate for white (125 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-53.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (7.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection has a 50.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-55.3%) win rate for white (296 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Pirc Connection is statistically favors white with a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.