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Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense

53K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.2%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.6%Based on 53K games
0%53.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 53.6%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%3.7%45.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Ng4
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
Analyzen=53K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 53.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 53.6%), based on 53K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.0% win rate (4,307 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.0% win rate (7,320 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (9,503 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.5% win rate (11,145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (9,058 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.5% win rate (6,005 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.5% win rate (3,200 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (1,640 games)
  • 2500+: 54.9% win rate (418 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (56%), worst in Bullet (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.6% win rate (171 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (14,829 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (27,807 games)
  • Rapid: 52.5% win rate (9,376 games)
  • Classical: 55.9% win rate (413 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (1,249 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (2,219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (830 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,697 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (3,933 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (1,659 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,784 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (5,454 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (2,161 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,564 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (6,321 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (2,067 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 65.4% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,583 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (4,725 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (1,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (2,357 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 64.4% expected score (788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 85.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (1,271 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (1,662 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 67.8% expected score (232 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 75.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (941 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (667 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (383 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 72.5% expected score (34 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Breyer Variation
51.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
45.9%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit Accepted
47.4%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit
46.0%
Continuations (3)
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit
46.0%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Exchange Variation
53.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation
54.5%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 53K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (6.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (53.6%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 54.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 418 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 53.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-59.8%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.7%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.3%) win rate for white (9.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-59.8%) win rate for white (413 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.