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Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense

53K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.8%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.2%Based on 53K games
0%46.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 47.2%
Outcome Distribution
45.0%3.7%51.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Ng4
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense
Analyzen=53K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 46.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 47.2%), based on 53K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (4,307 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.9% win rate (7,320 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.5% win rate (9,503 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.0% win rate (11,145 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.1% win rate (9,058 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.0% win rate (6,005 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.0% win rate (3,200 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.5% win rate (1,640 games)
  • 2500+: 42.8% win rate (418 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.5% win rate (171 games)
  • Bullet: 46.3% win rate (14,829 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (27,807 games)
  • Rapid: 43.3% win rate (9,376 games)
  • Classical: 40.4% win rate (413 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (1,249 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (2,219 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (830 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (1,697 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (3,933 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,659 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,784 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (5,454 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (2,161 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (69 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.7% expected score (43 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,564 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (6,321 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (2,067 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (150 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (2,583 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (4,725 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (1,614 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (105 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (2,357 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.6% expected score (788 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 14.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (1,271 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (1,662 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 32.2% expected score (232 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 24.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (941 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (667 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (383 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 27.5% expected score (34 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Kennedy Variation, Linksspringer Variation
50.3%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation
50.2%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Exchange Variation
48.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Franco-Nimzowitsch Variation
50.9%
Continuations (3)
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Pin Variation
54.5%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, Exchange Variation
53.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense, El Columpio Gambit
46.0%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 53K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 55.5% win rate for white (6.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (55.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (53.6%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 55.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 54.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 418 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 53.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-59.8%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.7%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.3%) win rate for white (9.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-59.8%) win rate for white (413 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: El Columpio Defense is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.