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Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit

147K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.6%Based on 147K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.7%3.4%45.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...f5
Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit
Analyzen=147K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 52.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.6%), based on 147K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +5.5% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~47%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (1,860 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (3,256 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.7% win rate (7,489 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (14,502 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.8% win rate (31,201 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (42,317 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (32,084 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.9% win rate (12,681 games)
  • 2500+: 47.4% win rate (1,444 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.4% win rate (182 games)
  • Bullet: 51.5% win rate (57,617 games)
  • Blitz: 50.2% win rate (75,337 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (13,081 games)
  • Classical: 48.9% win rate (617 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (646 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (799 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (403 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 22.7% expected score (15 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (1,442 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (1,359 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (428 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (3,391 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (3,261 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (770 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (30 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (6,201 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (6,869 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (1,230 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (145 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (11,519 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (16,841 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (2,677 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (13,948 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (23,885 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (4,289 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (177 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (11,583 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (17,521 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (2,888 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (84 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (7,702 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (4,549 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (393 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (1,185 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (253 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Nimzowitsch Defense
50.3%
Variations (5)
Nimzowitsch Defense: Kennedy Variation, Linksspringer Variation
50.3%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Advance Variation
50.2%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Declined Variation
49.6%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Scandinavian Variation, Exchange Variation
48.7%
Nimzowitsch Defense: Franco-Nimzowitsch Variation
50.9%
Analyze Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 147K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit perform best?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.9% win rate for white (3.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (47.7%) by -1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.2%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 42K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-53.7%) win rate for white (182 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.3%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.2%) win rate for white (75K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.5%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-48.8%) win rate for white (617 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit a good opening?

The Nimzowitsch Defense: Colorado Countergambit is slightly favors black with a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.