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Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit

7.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 52.0%Based on 7.6K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.1% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.6%3.0%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.h5
Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit
Analyzen=7.6K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 51.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 52.0%), based on 7.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +3.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · UltraBullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 48%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.0% win rate (102 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (182 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.3% win rate (334 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.5% win rate (291 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.5% win rate (493 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.7% win rate (936 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (1,085 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.8% win rate (3,167 games)
  • 2500+: 48.1% win rate (1,005 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Classical (16%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (192 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (4,844 games)
  • Blitz: 46.6% win rate (2,331 games)
  • Rapid: 54.0% win rate (220 games)
  • Classical: 15.8% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (55 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (97 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (133 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (232 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (207 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (459 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (378 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (585 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (421 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 69.2% expected score (22 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (2,421 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (709 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (870 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (129 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Modern Defense
48.7%
Variations (5)
Modern Defense: Anti-Modern
53.1%
Modern Defense: Averbakh System
49.0%
Modern Defense: Averbakh Variation, Pseudo-Sämisch
49.5%
Modern Defense: Beefeater Variation
45.4%
Modern Defense: Bishop Attack
49.2%
Analyze Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate?

The Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit perform best?

The Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (334 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (55.6%) outperforms Blitz (46.6%) by 9.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit?

The Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 34.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 53.1% (90% CI: 47.1%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 182 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 50.8%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 334 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 291 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 493 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 936 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-61.4%) win rate for white (192 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.8%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 44.9%-48.3%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-59.4%) win rate for white (220 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

Is the Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit a good opening?

The Modern Defense: Lizard Defense, Pirc-Diemer Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.