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King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit

16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score42.9%Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 43.6%Based on 16K games
0%42.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.3% – 43.6%
Outcome Distribution
41.1%3.6%55.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.b4
King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit
Analyzen=16K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 42.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.3% and 43.6%), based on 16K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -9.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 15.5% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 40% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.8% win rate (5,611 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.7% win rate (3,155 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.5% win rate (2,393 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.7% win rate (1,917 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.7% win rate (1,257 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.2% win rate (1,127 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (642 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.1% win rate (249 games)
  • 2500+: 48.9% win rate (69 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (16 games)
  • Bullet: 42.9% win rate (2,615 games)
  • Blitz: 41.6% win rate (7,697 games)
  • Rapid: 40.3% win rate (5,785 games)
  • Classical: 27.4% win rate (307 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.2% expected score (624 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (2,549 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.8% expected score (2,409 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.5% expected score (436 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 43.2% expected score (1,436 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.9% expected score (1,224 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (329 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,095 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (886 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.4% expected score (80 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (335 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (827 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.9% expected score (648 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 24.2% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (248 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (661 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (321 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (260 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (641 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 23.9% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (386 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (66 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (138 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (93 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 41.1% (90% CI: 40.5%-41.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 45.7% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (42.9%) outperforms Classical (27.4%) by 15.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit?

The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 39.8% (90% CI: 38.8%-40.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 40.7% (90% CI: 39.3%-42.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 42.5% (90% CI: 40.8%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 37.7% (90% CI: 35.8%-39.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 43.2% (90% CI: 40.8%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 41.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 642 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 44.1% (90% CI: 39.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 249 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 42.9% (90% CI: 41.4%-44.5%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 41.6% (90% CI: 40.7%-42.5%) win rate for white (7.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 40.3% (90% CI: 39.3%-41.4%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit has a 27.4% (90% CI: 23.3%-31.6%) win rate for white (307 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Pachman Wing Gambit is slightly favors black with a 41.1% (90% CI: 40.5%-41.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.