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King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening

517K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.6%Based on 517K games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.3% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%3.9%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.a3
King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening
Analyzen=517K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 50.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.3% and 50.6%), based on 517K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (43,691 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.0% win rate (92,542 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.8% win rate (126,885 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.4% win rate (123,564 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.1% win rate (85,875 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (33,038 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (9,660 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (1,482 games)
  • 2500+: 36.4% win rate (733 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (49%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.0% win rate (202 games)
  • Bullet: 48.3% win rate (67,957 games)
  • Blitz: 48.6% win rate (279,914 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (157,780 games)
  • Classical: 49.3% win rate (11,617 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 18.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (5,600 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (27,553 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (10,438 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 33.7% expected score (81 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (9,600 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (54,778 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (27,601 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (516 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (15,129 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (65,541 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (43,868 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (2,295 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (17,060 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (62,707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (38,862 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (4,880 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (8,523 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (43,248 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (30,548 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (3,542 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (7,261 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (19,747 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (5,755 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.6% expected score (270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (3,818 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (5,226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (595 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (599 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (775 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.2% expected score (96 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (367 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (339 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 33.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 517K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (93K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (49.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.0%) by 8.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 93K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 127K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 124K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 86K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 36.4% (90% CI: 33.5%-39.4%) win rate for white, based on 733 Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 30.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 41.0% (90% CI: 35.4%-46.7%) win rate for white (202 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.7%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-48.8%) win rate for white (280K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.4%) win rate for white (158K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.0%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: Mengarini's Opening is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.