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King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit

14K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.7%Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 56.4%Based on 14K games
0%55.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.1% – 56.4%
Outcome Distribution
54.5%2.4%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.O-O
King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit
Analyzen=14K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.4%

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 55.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.1% and 56.4%), based on 14K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +18.5% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.1% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 27%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 58.3% win rate (2,559 games)
  • 1000-1199: 59.4% win rate (3,879 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.1% win rate (3,399 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (2,361 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.8% win rate (1,628 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (489 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.4% win rate (52 games)
  • 2200-2499: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (62%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (1,690 games)
  • Blitz: 52.5% win rate (7,368 games)
  • Rapid: 58.1% win rate (5,058 games)
  • Classical: 61.7% win rate (249 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (206 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (1,505 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (843 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (264 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.3% expected score (2,202 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (1,393 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (414 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (1,573 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (1,317 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (94 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (342 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (1,075 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.5% expected score (866 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (77 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (202 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (955 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (422 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.4% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (231 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (197 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 91.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.6% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 59.4% win rate for white (3.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (58.1%) outperforms Bullet (51.6%) by 6.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit?

The King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 58.3% (90% CI: 56.7%-59.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 59.4% (90% CI: 58.1%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 44.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.9%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 489 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.6%-53.6%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.5%-53.4%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 58.1% (90% CI: 57.0%-59.2%) win rate for white (5.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit has a 61.7% (90% CI: 56.6%-66.7%) win rate for white (249 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: La Bourdonnais Gambit is statistically favors white with a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.8%-55.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.