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King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening

2.0M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.0%Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 46.1%Based on 2.0M games
0%46.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.0% – 46.1%
Outcome Distribution
44.1%3.8%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Nc3
King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening
Analyzen=2.0M
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 46.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.0% and 46.1%), based on 2.0M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 11.4% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.1% win rate (513,384 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.4% win rate (398,823 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.0% win rate (336,221 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.8% win rate (290,664 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.8% win rate (234,863 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (166,904 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (77,042 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (24,199 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (2,266 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.5% win rate (15,871 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (741,121 games)
  • Blitz: 43.7% win rate (906,962 games)
  • Rapid: 40.2% win rate (364,217 games)
  • Classical: 35.3% win rate (16,195 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (1,886 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (110,433 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (263,838 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (135,175 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (2,052 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (3,327 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (106,792 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (195,170 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (89,792 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (3,742 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (3,923 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (108,793 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (156,249 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (62,873 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 39.9% expected score (4,383 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (3,771 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (122,942 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (118,790 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 37.3% expected score (40,559 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 29.5% expected score (4,602 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (1,958 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (118,716 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (92,030 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (21,048 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (1,111 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 56.2% expected score (750 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (97,655 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (56,539 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (11,709 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (251 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (217 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (54,418 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (19,872 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (2,492 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (19,400 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (4,211 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (541 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (1,972 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (263 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (28 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Pawn Game
47.9%
Variations (5)
King's Pawn Game: Alapin Opening
48.3%
King's Pawn Game: Bavarian Gambit
49.5%
King's Pawn Game: Beyer Gambit
53.4%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit
50.9%
King's Pawn Game: Busch-Gass Gambit, Chiodini Gambit
47.3%
Analyze King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate?

The King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 44.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.0M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening perform best?

The King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 46.1% win rate for white (167K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.7%) outperforms Classical (35.3%) by 11.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening?

The King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 43.1% (90% CI: 43.0%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 513K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 44.4% (90% CI: 44.2%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 399K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-44.1%) win rate for white, based on 336K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.6%-42.9%) win rate for white, based on 291K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 235K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.9%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 167K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 44.0% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 42.7% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.2%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-46.8%) win rate for white (741K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 43.7% (90% CI: 43.6%-43.8%) win rate for white (907K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 40.2% (90% CI: 40.1%-40.4%) win rate for white (364K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening has a 35.3% (90% CI: 34.7%-36.0%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening a good opening?

The King's Pawn Game: King's Head Opening is slightly favors black with a 44.1% (90% CI: 44.1%-44.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.