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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense

159K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.6%Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.8%Based on 159K games
0%47.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.4% – 47.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.5%4.1%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nc6
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense
Analyzen=159K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 47.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.4% and 47.8%), based on 159K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~40%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 39.9% win rate (120 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.9% win rate (547 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.9% win rate (1,696 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.8% win rate (5,542 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (16,313 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.5% win rate (42,516 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.6% win rate (56,051 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.2% win rate (32,612 games)
  • 2500+: 41.8% win rate (3,885 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (63,092 games)
  • Blitz: 45.3% win rate (86,490 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (9,372 games)
  • Classical: 43.3% win rate (321 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (66 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (44 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (364 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (145 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (946 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (633 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (2,490 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,662 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (369 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (6,479 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (8,642 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (1,134 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (13,738 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (25,687 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (2,953 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (137 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (18,830 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (33,677 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (3,451 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (93 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (16,914 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (14,409 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (1,277 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (3,265 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (591 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.0% expected score (29 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 159K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (547 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.8%) outperforms Classical (51.3%) by -0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 58.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-65.3%) win rate for white, based on 120 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 55.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 547 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.2%) win rate for white (63K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (86K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.7%) win rate for white (9.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense has a 51.3% (90% CI: 46.7%-55.9%) win rate for white (321 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Yates Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.